Cheatsheet: 45% of bitcoin hasn’t moved in more than 3 years

Billions of dollars in bitcoin are flying across the blockchain as price stops just short of record highs

article-image

Metech Multimedia/Shutterstock modified by Blockworks

share

This is Cheatsheet, a primer on what’s happening in crypto today.

Traders are still pumping dog coins — but luckily for our collective sanity, something else has pumped even harder.

Bitcoin Cash fork eCash (formerly Bitcoin Cash ABC) is up 68% over the past day, its market cap jumping to two-year highs above $1.6 billion. The project is still being developed somewhat, but there doesn’t seem to be a direct catalyst for its recent pump.

Other top performers include Shiba Inu (SHIB), gaining nearly 65%, and blockchain-powered video streaming network Theta (THETA), which has jumped 31%. 

Zombie coin Terra Luna Classic follows with 24.5%. Bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) are up 4% and 8%, respectively.

On-chain mail

Bitcoin’s run has coins on the move and it’s changing the holder landscape.

  • Diamond hands: 11% of all bitcoin haven’t moved for between five and seven years, the most since early 2017 when the asset was worth $1,000.
  • Itchy palms: 17% have moved in the past three months, down from 19.4% at the start of the year (indicating rising numbers of bitcoin held)
  • Class of ‘21: 45% haven’t moved in more than three years, down from 49.75% in October (the number of medium-term holders has shrunk slightly over bitcoin’s current run).

Crypto exchanges have now seen their third straight day of net BTC inflows for the first time in one month, totalling nearly $525 million, indicating at least some intent to either take profits or enter altcoin markets.

Still, three of the six biggest days of net outflows since the FTX debacle in November 2022 have occurred over the past three months, with overall balances reducing by around 50,000 BTC ($3.33 billion) year-to-date.

However, outflows haven’t kept up with bitcoin’s price: There’s more than $135.3 billion in bitcoin sitting on exchanges right now, the highest US dollar value since crypto’s previous all-time high.

  • Tether has officially entered the $100-billion club, the fifth crypto to ever do so (and the first stablecoin).
  • Restaking app EigenLayer has flipped lending protocol Aave for TVL, now $11.05 billion and the second biggest DeFi app behind liquid staking tool Lido.
  • BSC lender Kinza and Base DEX Aerodrome are the fastest growing apps for TVL over the past week (Aerodrome TVL at highs of $205 million, raw ETH deposits still a ways off).
Warmer colored bands are slowly taking over the supply — which means more coins dormant for longer (Source).

Crypto business

Bitcoin fatigue seemed to hit on Monday, even as BTC inched ever closer to new record highs.

  • Slim pickings: Only two crypto stocks are set to open Tuesday higher: Cipher Mining (7%) and Coinbase (1.7%).
  • Volatile: Miners Argo and Marathon dropped the worst outside of regular US hours, down 8.9% and 4%.
  • Mending pending: Core Scientific is slowly clawing back its market cap after escaping bankruptcy — up 34% this month to $740 million but still three-quarters down on early 2022 highs.

Coinbase stock meanwhile is worth more than at any point since crypto’s previous peak in 2021, hitting $55.5 billion, about 30% shy of its highest ever valuation (nearly $77 billion).

COIN’s correlation with the wider tech market — as benchmarked by the Nasdaq 100 — is still holding, currently at 66% after spending much of the past few weeks inverted, per TradingView.

It’s trading almost in tandem with MicroStrategy these days, currently at 93% correlation. MSTR itself doubles as a proxy for bitcoin.

  • BITI, the ETF offering short exposure to bitcoin, is now down 72% over the past year.
  • Grayscale’s ether trust still trades at nearly 9% discount to NAV after another SEC delay to its pending ETF decision.
  • Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao is still the richest crypto billionaire on Forbes real-time list, worth $15 billion to Brian Armstrong’s $10 billion.

On the ground

Loading Tweet..
No peak until Coinbase hits #1 on Apple App Store charts
Loading Tweet..
Animal Farm, but make it Web3
Loading Tweet..
USA likes the coin

Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter.

Tags

Upcoming Events

Salt Lake City, UT

WED - FRI, OCTOBER 9 - 11, 2024

Pack your bags, anon — we’re heading west! Join us in the beautiful Salt Lake City for the third installment of Permissionless. Come for the alpha, stay for the fresh air. Permissionless III promises unforgettable panels, killer networking opportunities, and mountains […]

recent research

Screen Shot 2024-05-16 at 14.53.45.png

Research

Loss-versus-rebalancing (LVR) is arguably Ethereum DeFi’s biggest problem, and thus reducing LVR is fundamental to the success of Ethereum. This report dives into the world of LVR. We uncover its importance for AMM designers, discuss the two major mechanism design categories and various projects developing solutions, and offer a higher level perspective on the importance of AMMs in general.

article-image

Yesterday saw Congress’ upper chamber side with the House on a measure aimed at overturning SAB 121

article-image

Oklahoma’s new crypto bill will go into effect in November of this year

article-image

The deposits hit a $20 million cap in just 45 minutes

article-image

Twelve Democratic Senators voted in favor to pass the resolution Thursday

article-image

Pump.fun is “aware” that bonding curve contracts on Pump.fun were exploited, and has since paused trading

article-image

Some investment pros are mulling crypto allocations between 1% and 10% and seeking ex-BTC exposure for interested clients